Month: October 2014

Market update

• Market trend dip last week but bounced back since 10/21

General concern in the market: increasing interest rate

• Third quarter report is out:
  • Boeing shows strong 3^rd quarter result:  17% increase in earning
  • Yahoo’s earning exceeds expectation but not very impressive compared to other companies.
  • Snap chat start to raise more money.

Stock pitch

ConocoPhillips(COP)

Overview:

• The world’s largest independent exploration and production (E&P) company.

• Explore for, produce, transport and market crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG) and natural gas liquids on a worldwide basis.
• Have operations and activities in 27 countries.
• Six operating segments defined by geographic region: Alaska, Lower 48 and Latin America, Canada, Europe, Asia Pacific and Middle East, and Other International.
• No dominating competitors for any segment of business.
• Goal: 3-5 % annual production and margin growth.

Risk

• Prices of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied natural gas.
• Decline in volume of reserves.
• Expenses on compliance with existing and future environmental laws and regulations.
• Change in domestic and worldwide political and economic environment.
• Changes in governmental regulations may impose price controls and limitations on production of crude oil, natural gas, bitumen, and natural gas liquids.

Decline in oil price- strategic focus

• Higher cash margin developments by reducing production cost.
• ConocoPhillps produces oil and gas at comparatively low rate compare to other oil and gas producers.

Reserve

• 179%annual reserve placement in 2013
• Continue adding deep water discoveries.
• Increased production on reserves.

Balance sheet

• Has enough assets to cover liability
• Net tangible assets have been growing since 2012

BACKSTAGE PASS:

CREATING CONNECTIONS IN FINANCE with Goldman Sachs

Friday, October 24 from 11:00am – 12:00pm (Thomas Hall, Quita Woodward Room)

Bryn Mawr Students Register here:  https://brynmawr.qualtrics.com/SE/?SID=SV_3wL5qB2MAoDNXH7

Explore traditional and alternative paths at Goldman Sachs with Edina Jung (BMC ’94) and Jamie Higgins (BMC ’98), learn about internship & full-time opportunities, and more.

Edina Jung (Mathematics ’94)

Edina is global head of Benefits and Wellness and head of Global Mobility Services in the Human Capital Management (HCM) Division. She is the MD sponsor for the HCM Asian Professionals Network and serves as a member of the Firmwide Asian Professionals Network Steering Committee. Edina is also a member of the Retirement Committee for the firm’s US retirement plans. Prior to assuming her current role, Edina was head of Employee Special Investments and co-head of Global Benefits and Wellness. Earlier in her career, she was head of US Benefits. Edina joined Goldman Sachs in 2000 and was named managing director in 2011. Prior to joining the firm, Edina worked at ACS (formerly PricewaterhouseCoopers) in benefits administration. Edina earned a BA in Economics from Bryn Mawr College, where she serves on the President’s Advisory Council. Edina and her husband have a daughter and live in Montclair, New Jersey.

Jamie Higgins (Mathematics ’98)

Jamie manages the US Supply team within the Global Securities Services (GSS) Securities Lending Group, which she joined in 2007. Prior to that, she co-managed the Corporate Repo Securities Lending team from 2006 to 2007. Earlier in her career, Jamie worked on the Securities Lending Demand team covering hedge fund clients. She joined Goldman Sachs in 1998 as an analyst and was named managing director in 2012. Jamie earned a BA in Mathematics from Bryn Mawr College in 1998.

Market Updates

• Hewlett- Packard split into 2 different smaller companies. Lots of big tech companies are trying to split into small ones (eBay/ PayPal; EMC/ VMware). Main reason is to narrow down their focuses.
• Go pro Camera gifted 5.8 million toward charitable organization during lock up period.
• Chinese Insurer, Anbang Insurance Group, buys Waldorf Astoria for a Record $1.95B

Stock Pitch

AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER)

• Aviation company that engages in the leasing, financing, trading, sales and management of commercial aircraft and engines.
• December 16, 2013 announced the acquisition of ILFC from AIG.

Airline Leasing Industry

• Over a third of the world’s airline fleet is now rented and the proportion is likely to keep growing

• Many leasing companies also offer maintenance for the airlines at an additional cost.

Acquisition

• The combined company will be the largest global franchise in the aircraft leasing industry.
• Combined fleet of 1,329 aircraft and an order book for an additional 385.
• Will allow for cost savings and operating efficiencies.
• Lower tax expense.
• Future profits and synergies are expected to reduce its leverage meaningfully over the following four to five years.

Revenue

• Lease rental revenue:
• Asia/Pacific/Russia 32%
• North America 18%
• Latin America 11%
• Africa/Middle East 4%
• Europe 35%

Recent Activity

• Sold $2 billion worth of planes since December.
• Well ahead of its disposal target averaging $1 billion a year.
• Expected to meet a target of reaching a debt-to-equity ratio of around 3-to-1 by the end of next year.
• Secured operators for 90% of the planes due for delivery by the end of 2016.

Risks

• Interest Rates
• Emerging Markets
• Defaults
• Continued Demand from Airlines

Recommendation

• Buy
• Asses the result of earnings report in November
• Hold through end of December

OIG is hosting a discussion session with invited guest speaker Ted Zobian from Morgan Stanley on October 24th @ 3pm, Haffner Dorothy Vernon Room . We welcome everyone interested to join us!

Ted Zobian is the assistant vice president of Morgan Stanley Private Wealth Management. He will briefly share his career path and introduce what is wealth management. Then we will open it up to a Q&A session. Don’t miss out this great opportunity!

Market update:

• -JP Morgan losses ruling in the lawsuit. They are facing a 13 billion settlement.
• Mortgage loan rates fell last week. However, the demand for home loan is still muted.

Guest speaker Ivy Gluck:

Ivy works as an equity analyst at Brandywine Global Investment Management after her summer internship with the company.  She graduated from Bryn Mawr College in 2014 as a math major and Philosophy minor. She was also part of portfolio management team in OIG

About Brandywine Global Investment Management:

“Brandywine Global Investment Management offers a broad array of fixed income, equity, alternatives, and asset allocation strategies that seek value across global markets.”

know more about the firm:

http://www.brandywineglobal.com/Index.cfm?Page=About%20Us&Content=Our%20Firm

Key tips to Bryn Mawr Student:

• Asking smart questions. Constantly questioning things.
• Be a good team member.
• Good reading and writing skill

Job responsibilities:

• Market update through Wall Street Journal
• Company research- being aware of anything new happens in these companies in their portfolio.
• Stock research: Value investing is to seek stocks with low popularity but worth investing.
  • “Fear when everyone is excited and excited when everyone fear”
  • PE multiple (price over earning) analysis.
  • balance sheet analysis
  • Is there a reason that this company is trading very low?
  • What is this company do? What is the company’s competitive position? What is its biggest risk?

Tips for internship search:

• Network through career office, lantern link, Haverford network and Linked in